Fear of further decline in world
trade: RBI
The Indian economy is already in the grip of
recession. Meanwhile, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has predicted a further
decline in world trade.
The Indian economy is already in the grip of
recession. Meanwhile, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has expressed the
possibility of further decline in world trade. The top bank has said in its
monetary policy report that future indications suggest that there will be a
further decline in world trade this year.
RBI said, "The slowdown in global trade,
which started in late 2018, is continuing in 2019. There are also indications
for further that world trade may slow down further in 2019."
The growth rate of real gross domestic product
(GDP) in America has decreased. The GDP there has come down to two percent in
the second quarter of 2019.
The RBI further said that the euro area GDP growth
also slowed in the second quarter of 2019 due to uncertainties between Brexit
and trade tensions.
The German economy has also shrunk in the second
quarter of the year due to the crisis in the auto industry amid falling
exports. Even during entering the third quarter, its pace is not satisfactory.
Here, the ninth consecutive month of decline in activity of factories has been
recorded.
Along with this, Italy's GDP has also shrunk due
to disappointing performance of industry and agricultural activities in the
second quarter. The Japanese economy grew at a slower pace in the second
quarter than in the previous quarter, amid an increase in trade tensions
between the US-China and a decline in global demand.
Britain's real GDP has also been affected in the
second quarter due to a decline in manufacturing activity due to the early
closure of car plants in April following Brexit uncertainty. The economy of
neighboring China has been the weakest in the second quarter of the year in
almost 27 years due to reduced trade tensions with the US and global demand.
Along with this, countries like Russia, Indonesia and Thailand are also facing
recession.
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